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2.20 6max

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  1. #1

    Default 2.20 6max

    tough spot here .. i put myself in worse shape by calling this flop .. i think villan 100% of the time has a Q here. my question is can i call his overbet all in on the turn, obv hes pushing out draws....

    im giving myself 11 outs which is 22%? is that roughly right??

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 2.2 Tournament, 100/200 Blinds (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    Button (t5980)
    SB (t25490)
    BB (t4800)
    UTG (t8865)
    Hero (MP) (t10285)
    CO (t12450)

    Hero's M: 34.28

    Preflop: Hero is MP with 10, A
    1 fold, Hero bets t600, 3 folds, BB calls t400

    Flop: (t1300) 6, J, Q (2 players)
    BB bets t600, Hero calls t600

    Turn: (t2500) 9 (2 players)
    BB bets t3600 (All-In), Hero ???
  2. #2
    we are getting 5/3 pot odds. Our equity to win the pot is 22% so we are getting 78/22, which is 5/1.4. So, this is a fold. Also, I am not sure we should count As as outs.
  3. #3
    You have to win 37% of the time to breakeven and your being optimistic assuming you'll win 22%. Some of the time he has hands like QT,KT,T9 where you have 7 outs to win and 4 to tie. Its also completely possible for this to be 2-pair shoving because they don't want to get outdrawn
  4. #4
    I don't mind the flop call but I hate if if the plan is to call a shove on this turn
  5. #5
    yeah this is a fold
  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by drmcboy
    I don't mind the flop call but I hate if if the plan is to call a shove on this turn
    not my intention at all, im just shocked he insta shoved here .. obviously he doesnt have the nuts but i also dont put him on a bluff here .. hes prolly weakish but clearly cant call i was just confused by the play
  7. #7
    you described exactly what he's doing in the OP, you aren't confused.

    It isn't odd at all, there are a ton of cards that will kill his action or beat him. If he makes a standard bet he has enough behind that the river is really hard to play.
  8. #8
    PS I'm glad you are lurking less!
  9. #9
    Quote Originally Posted by drmcboy
    PS I'm glad you are lurking less!
    yea its pretty much so when next gauntlet comes around ill get the full bounty when i knock you out jk!

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