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Ok, I'm home from work so let's do this. I've read Spoons post (linked above) and here's what I got.
By the river, I'm discounting diamond draws since we're getting a bet and yet another call. UTG limp/called PF and by the river I can narrow his range down to JT+, 99, KQ, QT, A9s, T9. MP2 also limp/called PF so I'm not expecting anything spectacular to show up here as well. His range consists of KQ, A9, 87, QT, T9, J8+. Generally the same range as UTG and both I think are kind of wide, but oh well.
Our equity against these ranges combined is: 21.684% (below)
I need to call $2 into an $12.10 pot = 2/(2+12.10) = 14.18%
This is less than than our equity of 21.684% so it's a +EV call.
FWIW UTG showed :Jc: and MP2 showed :Jh: :Qh:
UTG ended up being a total fish (for obvious reasons) and I proceeded to win almost 4 BI from him until he left.
Code:
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
19,314 games 0.015 secs 1,287,600 games/sec
Board: 9d Jd 3s 3h Tc
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 42.404% 39.05% 03.36% 7542 648.00 { 99, A9s, KQs, QTs, T9s, KQo, QTo, T9o }
Hand 1: 35.912% 32.56% 03.36% 6288 648.00 { A9s, KQs, QTs, T9s, 87s, A9o, KQo, QTo, T9o, 87o }
Hand 2: 21.684% 21.68% 00.00% 4188 0.00 { AJo }
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