5NL FR squeeze with AJo vs nit and fish?

[daviddem]

So I remember some guy with two a's in his IRC SN recently saying that squeezing with AJo vs a nit raise called by a fish was a good idea, so I thought I'd give it a go.

MP1 is 9/9 over 34 and MP3 is a 54/11 fish.

Squeeze or not? (and why please)

No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (9 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($5)
SB ($4.83)
BB ($4.98)
UTG ($5)
UTG+1 ($5.05)
MP1 ($5.12)
MP2 ($10.13)
MP3 ($6.53)
Hero (CO) ($5.36)

Preflop: Hero is CO with J, A
2 folds, MP1 bets $0.17, 1 fold, MP3 calls $0.17

[Vinland]

I dont mind it if you think MP1 will fold a good % of the time. If he is at all positionally aware, he may be raising more like 11-12% here and he prob only calls/4bets with the top 3%.
I also like to know their fold to cbet stat. If fish is a station post flop then 3betting here may not be best.
If he does then I like it, gets you HU vs fish with position where you can easily steal it post flop or play a nice pot w/ TP.

[daviddem]

I dont mind it if you think MP1 will fold a good % of the time. If he is at all positionally aware, he may be raising more like 11-12% here and he prob only calls/4bets with the top 3%.
I also like to know their fold to cbet stat. If fish is a station post flop then 3betting here may not be best.
If he does then I like it, gets you HU vs fish with position where you can easily steal it post flop or play a nice pot w/ TP.

No fold to cbet stat for MP1. MP3 has 71% fold to cbet (7 hands).

And sizing? just pot it?

[Vinland]

If I 3bet, I make it $.60

[couriermike]

If you squeeze here, daviddem, this'll be like in your test thread. You'll be making a bluff and a value-raise at the same time.

[daviddem]

If you squeeze here, daviddem, this'll be like in your test thread. You'll be making a bluff and a value-raise at the same time.

It's true it's a bluff against MP1 and a vbet against MP3.

A small problem here with the bluff part is that my image was probably loose at that point as I was 25/22 over the first few orbits.

[kfaess]

Great spot to squeeze because the nit folds a ton and the fish calls with a lot of worse hands.

Not sure what you're worried about. He's a nit, by definition he doesn't play back without the nuts so if he raises its a super easy fold. I wouldn't expect him to get all crazy when you've only been playing with him for a few orbits and you don't have any 3b dynamic (that you mentioned itt). You also have blockers to hands he might play back at you with.

[daven]

So I remember some guy with two a's in his IRC SN recently saying that squeezing with AJo vs a nit raise called by a fish was a good idea, so I thought I'd try and figure out why this may be the case

fyp

[Imthenewfish]

stats/reads on players behind you is always really important

[daviddem]

stats/reads on players behind you is always really important

Yes I forgot to say that, they are both very tight.