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EV Help

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  1. #1

    Default EV Help

    As my name might suggest, I'm a green player. I've had some success in SnGs $10-$30 buy-ins, but like everyone else, want to improve my game. I'm trying to get a better grasp of EV and wanted to see if my understanding/analysis is correct. I'll use the following hand that came up last night.

    Blinds 100/200
    5 players left
    Table has been fairly tight

    I'm in the CO and dealt KhQh
    EP limps
    MP limps
    I limp
    SB raises to $300
    BB folds
    EP folds
    MP calls
    SB has been a rock so I put him at high pair or overcards. MP probably Ax, Kx or mid pair. I call.

    Flop 10h 3h 6s (pot $1300)
    SB pushes all in $1225
    MP folds

    Now, I have a little better than 2-1 against making the flush on the turn or river (please correct me if I'm wrong). If I make it, I lose if the SB has Ah - I'll take that risk.

    Disregarding the Ah, I think I'm looking at a slight EV+ (I win 2525 for a 1225 bet ... slightly better than 2-1), so I should call. Is my understanding of EV and calculation correct?

    Not that it's relevant to EV, but I called and drew a 7h on the turn, blank on the river.

    SB had pocket QQ.

    Thanks
  2. #2
    Having 35% chance to hit your flush (and assumingly win the hand), your chip EV on the flop call would be:
    .35 * 2525 - .65 * 1225 = 883.75 - 796.25 = 87.5

    Money EV, since this is a tourney, is completely different and quite impossible to figure out mathematically. Would need to know stack sizes to have any insight there.
    Up my bankroll - buy Saints Row.
  3. #3
    Ok, it looks like I'm on the right track at least.
    Thanks
  4. #4
    DoGGz Guest
    There is actually a forumula to equate tourny chips to value. I have never used it myself, but the best of best tourny players use it. I can't think of it's name off the top of my head.
  5. #5
    its called ICM and it is the shit.
  6. #6
    And with the help of Google, http://www.bol.ucla.edu/~sharnett/ICM/info.html

    Eh, it's just an heuristic. You got me all excited
    Up my bankroll - buy Saints Row.

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