JJ faces river bet

[Petulie]

Villain is 32/22, fold to 3bet 60% and cbet 63% over 104 hands, no notes on the guy. BU is 23/11 fishy. I didn't 3bet pre as this guy is a bit stationy vs 3bets, I didn't want to be bloating a pot in which I'd likely be lost even in position. Not sure I should have called the flop but fishy behind me was pretty passive so I wasn't worried about him raising and I figured I could peel one. Turn checks through so when villain bets this river either he's hit the flush, he's thinly value betting 99-KK, or he's bluffing things like KQ, KJ...against this range I've got like 60% equity and I need like 40% to call, is this right? So this is a call?


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (6 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP ($2.15)
Hero (CO) ($5.95)
Button ($12.19)
SB ($5)
BB ($4.82)
UTG ($2.40)

Preflop: Hero is CO with J, J
UTG bets $0.15, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.15, Button calls $0.15, 2 folds

Flop: ($0.52) A, 5, 7 (3 players)
UTG bets $0.30, Hero calls $0.30, 1 fold

Turn: ($1.12) 2 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks

River: ($1.12) 8 (2 players)
UTG bets $0.74, Hero?

[Petulie]

Should add that he'll obv be value betting 88 on the river as well, this was included in my stoved range. Also, I don't think he has that many flushes in his range as he'd likely cbet Axs on the turn, and I doubt he'd have lower than KJs from utg.

[Vinland]

This would be a tough spot for me. If you think he def bluffs broadways then you might have a call. I also usually find LAG players bluffing for more than 60% of pot. This seems like a thin value bet.
63% cbet isnt that high and he did it into 2 players which tells me he was prob decently strong.
If he doesnt bluff the river then you are beating very few hands.

What is his aggression factor?

[d0zer]

I didn't 3bet pre as this guy is a bit stationy vs 3bets, I didn't want to be bloating a pot in which I'd likely be lost even in position.

wat? this is not a reason to not 3bet.

As played, folding the flop is fine, it's much less likely he's c-betting in a 3-way with 2 fish.

[baudib]

Flop is close but probably a fold imo. Calling river can't be good.

[Roid_Rage]

He's got dat AJ.

[Angryafrican]

Fistpump folding with the information we have about the player.

[ColdDecked]

If he opens a lot and calls a lot of 3bet, then 3betting strong hands like JJ would be good.

With the fish in the pot, villain is more likely to be vbetting, so I'd lean more towards a fold since he doesn't cbet a ton anyhow. River's probably a fold.

[rong]

I don't think my fist ever pumps when folding, ever.

I 3b and cb and then prob shut down.

[bikes]

lol @ the bet check bet.

for sure fold the river

[Stripclubjunkie]

WTF!
3 bet preflop, as played, you said he cbets alot, so this is his somewhat standard line , so I would reraise the flop. bet turn. river is close, but I'd call , you havent shown any strength, so I think he bets with a few hands.

[Rage2100]

I didn't 3bet pre as this guy is a bit stationy vs 3bets, I didn't want to be bloating a pot in which I'd likely be lost even in position.

A couple of others have mentioned it, but this is a great reason to 3-bet. If he was the sort of player who 4-bets or folds, then just calling would be fine, but against someone who calls 3-bets, I 3-bet all day here.

[Carroters]

WTF!
3 bet preflop, as played, you said he cbets alot, so this is his somewhat standard line , so I would reraise the flop. bet turn. river is close, but I'd call , you havent shown any strength, so I think he bets with a few hands.

WAT?

Always good to shovel money into the pot when all better continues and all worse folds...

3 betting is good vs this guy, not only makes the hand easier to play but you can do it for value pretty happily, him being stationy and opening a widish range being a plus not a minus.