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TAG will win pretty consistently at micro-ring, although I suspect it does involve sacrificing some amount of win rate for some decrease in variance. As for determining if you're actually a winning player or have just run hot, the more hands you play, the better the indication you'll have.
That said, if you want to try a level or two higher now, go for it. Set aside a couple of buyins and give it a shot. If you lose that money, it won't destroy your roll. And if you win and feel comfortable, you can evaluate on that basis taking your entire poker funding situation into account, not just the amount you have on Stars.
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