10NL AA

[FriskyPirate]

Villain is solid tag 15 12. Is it ok to shove the river in this spot or is this line too strong?

$0.05/$0.1 No Limit Holdem
8 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG johnd54 ($8.00)
UTG+1 Hero ($10.00)
MP1 XavierCosta7 ($17.15)
MP2 deadka ($2.05)
CO Boss Gator ($3.70)
BTN inf.vinc ($10.00)
SB west403 ($8.55)
BB Jeff1600 ($4.95)

Pre-flop: ($0.15, 8 players) Hero is UTG+1
johnd54 calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.50, 3 folds, inf.vinc calls $0.50, 2 folds, johnd54 calls $0.40

Flop: ($1.65, 3 players)
johnd54 checks, Hero bets $1.25, inf.vinc calls $1.25, johnd54 folds

Turn: ($4.15, 2 players)
Hero bets $2.60, inf.vinc calls $2.60

River: ($9.35, 2 players)
Hero ($5.65)?

[kb coolman]

Do you have any post-flop stats here? Stove gives you about 60% equity here against his range, but the paired Jacks scare me more than anything. This could go either way, IMO, but I would really like to know his flop fold to cbet%.

[bigspenda73]

either shove or c/f

I lean towards c/f

[FriskyPirate]

His flop fold to cbet was 50% over 122 hands. Ya, I think c/f would of been a better solution since he was not hanging around for the hell of it since he was a solid player...TT JJ TJ AJ KJ QJ are way ahead and even KQ might try and stick around. I was just reading something Todd Brunson wrote this morning about "be aware of flops with JTx" since they connect with so many starting hands...this point hits home here.