Odds of this happening?

[NoSocksLLC]

I was just curious of the odds on this occurrance...

I have pocket 7s, and there's one player left with me. The flop comes KK7, and I bet -- to which he pushes, and I do the same.

They flip over KQ.

So, at this point, here's the breakdown:

Me: 77
Them: KQ
Flop: KK7

What are the odds of each party winning?

Best,
EW

PS - Obviously, I don't have to tell you the ending.

[Xo_Sirk_oX]

If you have suits Poker stove would be VERY Usefull. Shows you everything you would ever want.

http://www.pokerstove.com/

[drtofu66]

You're roughly a 3.5:1 favorite ( I just picked random suits so it's not exactly right. But close enough).

You got your money on the table the favorite-- you made the right play, even if you lost.

Meh, it happens. Here's an 11.5:1 favorite going down in flames. I was pissed for a while. Now I just laugh about it:


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Button ($6.80)
SB ($32.64)
BB ($3.22)
UTG ($10.07)
UTG+1 ($3.92)
Hero ($9.33)
MP2 ($14.97)
MP3 ($4.02)
CO ($10)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 8, 8.
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.05, Hero calls $0.05, 2 folds, CO raises to $0.25, 3 folds, UTG+1 calls $0.20, Hero calls $0.20.

Flop: ($0.82) J, 2, 8 (3 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero checks, CO bets $0.85, UTG+1 folds, Hero raises to $1.7, CO raises to $9.75, Hero calls $7.38 (All-In).

Turn: ($19.65) 2 (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: ($19.65) A (2 players, 1 all-in)

Final Pot: $19.65

Results:
Hero has 8s 8h (full house, eights full of twos).
CO has As Ac (full house, aces full of twos).
Outcome: CO wins $19.64.

[Seasider]

Result
http://twodimes.net/h/?z=1662823
pokenum -h 7d 7s - kh qd -- kd ks 7c
Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing Ks 7c Kd
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
7s 7d 763 77.07 227 22.93 0 0.00 0.771
Qd Kh 227 22.93 763 77.07 0 0.00 0.229


you could prob play around with suits and change it a bit but u get the idea.

[Stagemn]

I was just curious of the odds on this occurrance...

I have pocket 7s, and there's one player left with me. The flop comes KK7, and I bet -- to which he pushes, and I do the same.

They flip over KQ.

So, at this point, here's the breakdown:

Me: 77
Them: KQ
Flop: KK7

What are the odds of each party winning?

Best,
EW

PS - Obviously, I don't have to tell you the ending.

164,381,184 games 0.560 secs 293,537,828 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 53.0613 % 52.85% 00.21% { 77 }
Hand 2: 46.9387 % 46.72% 00.21% { KQs, KQo }

[bantam222]

http://www.cardplayer.com/poker_odds...08690a64a4ac85

here is a site that can calc odds for you in the future so you dont have to post here and hope someone else does it for you =)

[Anosmic]

http://www.cardplayer.com/poker_odds/texas_holdem/index.php?PHPSESSID=b1981ae2d75a7d327908690a64a4ac 85

here is a site that can calc odds for you in the future so you dont have to post here and hope someone else does it for you =)

Meh, it's probably not important, but I prefer enumeration (like the twodimes site).

As for the hand itself; well if you lost it it's a tough break. But one would hope it's a fairly regular occurance. I mean, if we can get all our money in on 3:1 shots then we're going to be doing well.

I think the surprising point on this hand is that he has quite a number of outs. There's his 4 on the turn (the K and 3 Qs) but if he misses (and providing it's not a seven) he then has 7 outs on the river (if he pairs the turn card).

So what happened? Q on the river? That would seem the most likely suck out.