-
MicroStakes overbets
I am still trying to figure out the large overbets that I see fairly regularly at the micro stakes level. Most of the time they don't have the nuts, but have what they think is a pretty good hand. In this case, I wasn't worried about the flush because he instantly pushed without even really considering the spade on the turn. And I wasn't worried about him pairing the K, as he had called down with top pair medium kicker before. But I was still worried about a set. Easy fold?
SB ($3.71)
BB ($1.79)
UTG ($6.60)
UTG+1 ($3.85)
MP1 ($3.92)
MP2 ($2.27)
Hero ($4.68)
CO ($.88)
Button ($.70)
Preflop; Here is MP3 with JdJs
SB Posts SB 0.02, BB Posts BB 0.04, CO Posts IB 0.04, UTG Calls 0.04, UTG+1 calls 0.04, MP1 folds, HighestKicker025 folds, Hero raised to .30, CO folds, Button folds, SB calls .28, BB folds, UTG calls .26, UTG+1 folds
Flop: ($1.02) 2s 6s kd (3 players)
2 checks Hero Bets .60, SB folds, UTG calls .60
Turn: ($2.22) Ts
UTG All In 5.70, Hero ?
-
In most situations I think it's polarised either a complete bluff or what they think is a value bet. For this hand I'm not too sure, they really like to c/c flops and shove turns with sets a lot (or at least on iPoker).
What I see most often at these stakes, is if someone opens All-In PF it means AA.
-
depends on what type of player makes the overbet imo.
If its a tight player then its the nuts most of the time, if its a lagtard then its a bluff a lot of the time (but can still be the nuts).
For this specific hand its an obvious fold even without any reads, you can't even beat top pair and there are so many hands he could have that beat you.
-
I'd fold there are just to many hands he can beat you with. Kx, AA, QQ, any 2 spades, 22, 66, 1010.
Board: 2s 6s Kd Ts
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 16.636% 16.64% 00.00% 1098 0.00 { JdJs }
Hand 1: 83.364% 83.36% 00.00% 5502 0.00 { QQ+, TT, 66, 22, K2s+, AKo, K2o+ }