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Re: SUPER SUPER BASICS: Expected Value and Pot Odds
 Originally Posted by JKDS
For the purposes of this example, we are going to assume that HERO has JhTh, and that VILLAIN has AcKd and both hands are face up.
The board is 2h8hKcQs with a pot of $.40
Villain bets out $.20, should we call him?
Since both hands are face up, we will get no future money out of villain when the river comes, as he will simply fold to any bet we make. So the question is, are we getting the proper pot odds to call this bet? I.E., is calling this bet +EV???
well, we go back to our simple equation
EV=p(W)*gain - p(L)*loss
EV=9/45 * $.60 - 36/45* $.20 (it is out of 45 since we know villains hand)
EV=$.12 - $.16 = --$.04
So the pot is laying insufficient odds to justify the call, and it is thus -EV. Put another way, if we called this bet over a large sample size, we would expect to lose money!
I is drunk but it looks like you forgot 5 outs (9c,9s,9d,As,Ad)
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