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i glossed through exercises 6-8 and did math in my head and didn't write a big post about it so i could catch up. for exercise 7, i used a hand where i cbet KQo on a T9xr board against a fit or fold fish who's a preflop station.
i'm not as interested in that hand for this exercise, though, so i'm gonna take some liberties and do a spot more similar to the one you mentioned--c/r'ing range when flatting an ATS OOP.
villain is a 19/13 but has an ATS of 34% and F23B of only 57% (and doesn't really seem to fold to my 3b's IP), but hasn't 4b yet and 65% cbet. i've already started adjusting by flatting more of his steals and have c/r'ed a flop or two, but he doesn't seem super eager to adjust. he doesn't seem super creative, and seems to give up after one street when bluffing (doesn't double barrel, hasn't 3b any flops or anything).
my plan is to widen my value range (TT+, AQ+, don't feel comfortable making it much much wider, since we can play AJ/KQ/99 profitably by flatting based on postflop reads), and widen my calling range and include a lot of hands i would've otherwise 3b as a semi-bluff (AT-AJ, Axs, 54s+, 97s+, J7s/Q8s, KJ+, QJ, KTs and 77-99).
now for the hand, lol. i don't have a donk leading range on this particular flop
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
MP ($51.35)
Button ($104.20)
SB ($10)
Hero (BB) ($62.15)
UTG ($73.05)
Preflop: Hero is BB with XxYy
2 folds, Button bets $2, 1 fold, Hero calls $1.50
Flop: ($4.25) 8 , Q , 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $2.50
i plan to c/r Q8s and 88 for value, and that's about it (AQ is in my perceived range). as a bluff, i expect to c/r any hand with 4+ outs. FD's, GSSD's and maybe some things with some backdoor possibility like AsTs/AsJs (don't know how good it is it c/r very bare GSSD's like J9hh in this spot if i've already c/r'ed a few times, would like to hear thoughts on this).
so FD's (without straight draws in them)= 5d4d, 9d7d, Jd7d, KdTd, KdJd, Ad2d, Ad3d, Ad4d, Ad5d, Ad6d, Ad7d, Ad9d, AdTd, AdJd= 14 combos
straight draws (including combo draws)= 65s, 76s, T9s, JTs, J9s= 20 combos
misc. hands with potential against Qx= KsTs, KsJs, AsTs, AsJs, As9s, As7s, As6s, As5s, Ad7x, Ad6x, Ad5x, AdJx, AdTx, Ad9x, KdTx, KdJx, 5s4s= 45 combos
so of my total range of 160 combos (i think?), we're c/r'ing 85 hand combos, 79 of which are as a bluff. so we are rebluffing with 49.4% of our total range.
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