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 Originally Posted by NWNewell
Originally Posted by mcatdog
Your math is not correct. Under the assumptions that you made the overpair wins (41/46)*(40/45) = 79.23% of the time. The EV doesn't change at all if you run it twice.
Yeah, I see where my math went wrong  .... Thanks pointing that out.
But I' m not sure I've got my mind wrapped around the logic of how odds to hit don't get better the second time around, and since it is not costing you any extra the second time around, your EV should go up a little (drawing odds get better, cost stays the same = greater EV... I would think).
I've got to think about this..... 
EV should be the same, by its definition - if you run the same situation over and over again EV represents your EV oin average from those inifnite runs.
The fact that you did not shuffle the deck between runs should not really affect EV, odds to hit the flush improve the 2nd time only in the case of two non suit cards coming out the first time.
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