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Probably obvious but just making sure

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  1. #1

    Default Probably obvious but just making sure

    Not sure why he would all in like this maybe I have bluffing syndrome going on...

    PokerStars Game #24416989931: Hold'em No Limit ($0.02/$0.05) - 2009/01/29 23:53:51 ET
    Table 'Carlova' 9-max Seat #1 is the button
    Seat 1: lesnos ($6.47 in chips)
    Seat 2: Miikey722 ($11.83 in chips)
    Seat 3: JACQUEV1 ($2 in chips)
    Seat 4: Danutseye ($3.30 in chips)
    Seat 5: mrtguy ($6.65 in chips)
    Seat 6: benandchels ($5.53 in chips)
    Seat 7: Maxx98 ($9.12 in chips)
    Seat 8: me52 ($10.33 in chips)
    Miikey722: posts small blind $0.02
    JACQUEV1: posts big blind $0.05
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to Miikey722 [Ts Th]
    Danutseye: calls $0.05
    mrtguy: folds
    benandchels: folds
    Maxx98: folds
    me52: folds
    lesnos: calls $0.05
    Miikey722: raises $0.25 to $0.30
    JACQUEV1: folds
    Danutseye: calls $0.25
    lesnos: folds
    *** FLOP *** [Qc Jh Kd]
    Miikey722: bets $0.35
    Danutseye: raises $2.65 to $3 and is all-in
    Miikey722: folds
    Uncalled bet ($2.65) returned to Danutseye
    Danutseye collected $1.35 from pot
    Danutseye: doesn't show hand
    *** SUMMARY ***
    Total pot $1.40 | Rake $0.05
    Board [Qc Jh Kd]
    Seat 1: lesnos (button) folded before Flop
    Seat 2: Miikey722 (small blind) folded on the Flop
    Seat 3: JACQUEV1 (big blind) folded before Flop
    Seat 4: Danutseye collected ($1.35)
    Seat 5: mrtguy folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 6: benandchels folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 7: Maxx98 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 8: me52 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
  2. #2
    stop posting when you're 5-tabling and concentrate on the game
  3. #3
    Bet more on flop. Getting shoved into here on this flop sucks but its a must fold.
  4. #4
    Guest
    Quote Originally Posted by Micro2Macro
    Bet more on flop.
    Why?
  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by iopq
    Quote Originally Posted by Micro2Macro
    Bet more on flop.
    Why?
    I usually make my c-bets 2/3 - 3/4 the pot and I wouldn't alter the size based on the strength of my hand unless my opponent was easy to manipulate. If you've been playing TAG you can really rep that flop with nothing really, and a bigger bet will make it tougher for an opponent to raise back without a real hand. If you normally make say 2/3 - 3/4 pot c-bets and all of a sudden make it half something is out of line. Looks like a draw in this case.

    Although I suppose if roughly half pot is his usual c-bet size then it makes sense to do no different here.
  6. #6
    The thing to consider is that this is micro stakes and play should be adjusted accordingly. Players in micro make no "reads" on other players, they rather just play what they have without even considering what I might have.

    Therefore while c-betting 2/3+ of the pot may be better at higher stakes to show strength, at micro I feel its a waste of money as if they have a good hand, they will call you regardless of what you bet.
  7. #7
    Quote Originally Posted by Revolver123
    The thing to consider is that this is micro stakes and play should be adjusted accordingly. Players in micro make no "reads" on other players, they rather just play what they have without even considering what I might have.

    Therefore while c-betting 2/3+ of the pot may be better at higher stakes to show strength, at micro I feel its a waste of money as if they have a good hand, they will call you regardless of what you bet.
    Yeah true. I suppose if they fit or fold might as well bet the least amount possible to minimize loss when your c-bet gets picked off.
  8. #8

    Default Re: Probably obvious but just making sure

    Quote Originally Posted by Revolver123
    Not sure why he would all in like this maybe I have bluffing syndrome going on...

    PokerStars Game #24416989931: Hold'em No Limit ($0.02/$0.05) - 2009/01/29 23:53:51 ET
    Table 'Carlova' 9-max Seat #1 is the button
    Seat 1: lesnos ($6.47 in chips)
    Seat 2: Miikey722 ($11.83 in chips)
    Seat 3: JACQUEV1 ($2 in chips)
    Seat 4: Danutseye ($3.30 in chips)
    Seat 5: mrtguy ($6.65 in chips)
    Seat 6: benandchels ($5.53 in chips)
    Seat 7: Maxx98 ($9.12 in chips)
    Seat 8: me52 ($10.33 in chips)
    Miikey722: posts small blind $0.02
    JACQUEV1: posts big blind $0.05
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to Miikey722 [Ts Th]
    Danutseye: calls $0.05
    mrtguy: folds
    benandchels: folds
    Maxx98: folds
    me52: folds
    lesnos: calls $0.05
    Miikey722: raises $0.25 to $0.30
    JACQUEV1: folds
    Danutseye: calls $0.25
    lesnos: folds
    *** FLOP *** [Qc Jh Kd]
    Miikey722: bets $0.35
    Danutseye: raises $2.65 to $3 and is all-in
    Miikey722: folds
    Uncalled bet ($2.65) returned to Danutseye
    Danutseye collected $1.35 from pot
    Danutseye: doesn't show hand
    *** SUMMARY ***
    Total pot $1.40 | Rake $0.05
    Board [Qc Jh Kd]
    Seat 1: lesnos (button) folded before Flop
    Seat 2: Miikey722 (small blind) folded on the Flop
    Seat 3: JACQUEV1 (big blind) folded before Flop
    Seat 4: Danutseye collected ($1.35)
    Seat 5: mrtguy folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 6: benandchels folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 7: Maxx98 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 8: me52 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Ok, I'm surprised Spenda didn't mention it... but here goes...

    What kind of read do you have on this player? What have you seen him show down with? What are his HUD stats?

    Now that we have that info, let's re-analyze.

    Without it, my thoughts are this... you are SB with nearly 4x his stack... he limps, you raise to protect your blind (if he is thinking this) and he calls, probably I put him on Ax at this point... maybe AJ, but I think potentially lower, or he could be sitting on two broadway cards... nice flop for someone in that position, but not that bad for you either... you have OESD, 10 outs total (not counting his probable holding, let's take one away for his ace) so you are facing a possible two pair or TPTk, with OESD. You bet 1/2 pot, to me as your villian that makes me put you on a pair, potentially Jacks of Queens considering you only bet 1/2 pot showing some weakness (without knowing your read I have to assume you're looking to take it down here)... and if I have Kings or two pair, I think I'm good.

    So he shoves... that means he is pretty strong and looking to double up... do you have the odds to call? Let's see... the pot is now about $4 and it costs you $3 or around that to call, that isn't a very good ratio, and you are looking at let's say 9 outs, two cards to come, about a 36% chance of improving... but you might already be good... let's say 40% if he has Ax and is bluffing... still that isn't good enough to call, so it is a fold...

    So I'm folding it without a read that he shoves his straight draws or Ax flops when he misses... but if you're a gambler like me, there are times when you call this mess.
  9. #9
    Guest
    Quote Originally Posted by Micro2Macro
    Quote Originally Posted by Revolver123
    The thing to consider is that this is micro stakes and play should be adjusted accordingly. Players in micro make no "reads" on other players, they rather just play what they have without even considering what I might have.

    Therefore while c-betting 2/3+ of the pot may be better at higher stakes to show strength, at micro I feel its a waste of money as if they have a good hand, they will call you regardless of what you bet.
    Yeah true. I suppose if they fit or fold might as well bet the least amount possible to minimize loss when your c-bet gets picked off.
    You only need to bet the amount you think you'd bet with a good hand (say we have Kx)

    on this flop against a king an ace has 7 outs, a ten has 8 outs
    we're not paying off a bet if the board has 4 to a straight

    so taking the number 8 outs, that's 16% to improve by the turn
    we need to bet an amount that gives them worse pot %
    if the pot is x, and we bet .3x, their call is .3x out of a total of 1.6x
    that's 18.75% of the pot
    and we'll bet .3x on the turn and c/f on any fourth straight card that doesn't improve our hand

    so 30% of the pot is the smallest you can bet with a strong hand without giving correct odds
    why not bet 30% with a weak hand?

    although you should probably bet more because people call the flop with weak hands a lot if you bet a smaller amount, but 50% of the pot is quite respectable and I will sometimes valuebet 50% of the pot on dry boards

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