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Overpair on drawy flop; facing aggression

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  1. #1
    JKDS's Avatar
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    Feb 2008
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    Im not so eager to put so many suited connectors in his range. I know its only over 40 hands, but i figure if hes constantly calling with suited connectors then hed also be calling alot with strong broadways and all pps and probably some sutied aces as well...and thats a but load of hands. Further if hes doing that from mp raises i just dont see how he could run so bad as to have only picked up 6 of these over about 40 hands (well, i guess 2 of these assuming his raises were the way top part of that range).

    So like, i dont really see that many garbage hands calling u. This isnt to say he never has them, but i think its more like a "if i get one of these crappy hands, ill call a raise every once in awhile". So i kinda lean towards the better of the crap like JTs and like A9-AJ.

    I also probably remove QQ and AQ+ since in my experience almost all villains are 3betting these...though a really passive one wont, a 14/8 is probably gonna follow that trend.

    So come the flop, its pretty sick. TT, JJ i think would always play this way but 77-99 and A8-A9 are probably calling to trap you or just call down in the case of A9,8.

    So like, i think its a pretty interesting spot. It all comes down to how much of that crap you actually put into his range, i dont really give him much and yet its still kinda nasty. Like, say he has two pair and you have odds to draw to a better two pair...are you happy if an 7, 8, or 9 comes? Cuz like, its pretty hard to say which two pair he has so even turns that might improve our equity against his raising range are pretty dicey to play.

    I think i fold.
  2. #2
    Sets should be raising here a lot.

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