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 Originally Posted by moiraine57
I hate this example, because the real question isn't what should I do on the river, but what should I have done on the turn"
Why allow yourself to get to a river where villain was almost getting odds (real + implied) to call? Villain will either stack you on the river if he hits, or he will fold to any bet if he doesn't hit his flush. I see absolutely no value in letting the hand get to the river in the first place whatsoever.
Push on the turn.
I don't like this play. I might agree with a PSB, but not a push. Pushing is paranoia. He's got 9 cards out of 47 to make a flush. 2 of those cards give us a boat. So he has 7 clean outs and 2 outs that will pay us off huge. It would be a mistake for him to call 2/3 pot bet (assuming we don't get out of line deepstacked on an ugly river) That is IF our read is correct. He may also have a J that would instafold to a push.
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