NLHE Theory + Practice: Week 5

Finally got around to this, here's the hand.

weaktight | Hand Poll | AA - $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem

Opponent is an unknown, I know that it's impossible to bet 2x pot here but I'll do the calculation for a shove.

1/2 pot continuing range {J8o+, 88-TT, A4o} 79% equity.

Pot {J8o, JQo+, 88, A4o} 62.5% equity.

Shove {J8o, JKo+, 88, A4o} 50% equity.

I included A4o to account for the possibility that he may slow play a turned straight but sets probably raise before the river. So I think that 3/5 pot is a good compromise size since most Jx will still call.

Comments appreciated.

Originally Posted by HoopyDude

Finally got around to this, here's the hand.

weaktight | Hand Poll | AA - $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem

Opponent is an unknown, I know that it's impossible to bet 2x pot here but I'll do the calculation for a shove.

1/2 pot continuing range {J8o+, 88-TT, A4o} 79% equity.

Pot {J8o, JQo+, 88, A4o} 62.5% equity.

Shove {J8o, JKo+, 88, A4o} 50% equity.

I included A4o to account for the possibility that he may slow play a turned straight but sets probably raise before the river. So I think that 3/5 pot is a good compromise size since most Jx will still call.

Comments appreciated.

you arent looking for the spot you have the most equity against his range, you are looking for the most expected value,

so you have to figure out how much you win the 80% of the time he calls, and how much you lose the 20% just to find out the ev of the 1/2 psb. You have to do the same for all 3 in order to figure out the most ev + play

^^^ Yeah this is what I meant to say, sorry should have beeb a bit clearer. You will almost always have less equity vs a calling range when you increase the size of the bet, or certainly no more equity.

Finding out the EV of eachbet is what allows you to decide which is best.