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JJ vs an Early Position Nit
2 hands in total:
Villain is 15/11/3.8 over 226.
He has played a big pot against me with TPTK on a 7 high board but it was a BTN vs SB battle where he was trying to steal.
He only raises 3% of his EP hands.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (7 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
MP2 ($10.91)
Hero (CO) ($10)
Button ($11.01)
SB ($10.88)
BB ($4.86)
UTG ($10.64)
Villain (MP1) ($10.24)
Preflop: Hero is CO with J , J
1 fold, Villain bets $0.30, 1 fold, Hero raises to $1, 3 folds, Villain calls $0.70
I 3bet which is probably useless. He would probably call w/ TT, AK which I beat, JJ which I tie and QQ which I lose to. I would EXPECT him to 4bet KK/AA but that isnt written in stone.
He seems straightforward so I suspect that KK and AA are discounted...
Flop: ($2.15) 10 , 6 , 2 (2 players)
Villain checks, Hero bets $1.30, Villain raises to $4.40, Hero ?
If he has TT he beats me now. He's not folding QQ+ but would probably fold AK. My bet was again probably useless...
His reraise suggests he has TT+...is a fold in order? I only see about 13% equity vs TT+
Hand 2)
Villain is 30/7/1.7 over 30
Only note was that he would bet small (1/4 pot) w/ 3rd pair on flop vs preflop raiser.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
MP3 ($10.15)
Hero (CO) ($10)
Villain (Button) ($8.15)
SB ($11.89)
BB ($10)
UTG ($10.25)
UTG+1 ($9.85)
MP1 ($9.78)
MP2 ($10.15)
Preflop: Hero is CO with Q , J
5 folds, Hero bets $0.40, Villain calls $0.40, 2 folds
Flop: ($0.95) 2 , 10 , Q (2 players)
Hero bets $0.70, Villain calls $0.70
I have TPGK on a draw heavy board. I am pretty confident to bet for value here. His call suggests to me FD's, STR8 draws (9j, KJ, AJ) as well as hands like TQ, 22, TT, KT, AT, KQ, AQ, JT, JQ
Even though I have a FD, I doubt its going to be better than his very often.
Turn: ($2.35) 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $1.10, Villain calls $1.10
I vbet again although this is a bit small. My range on him doesnt change much although he likely starts reraising his sets on this draw heavy board.
River: ($4.55) A (2 players)
Hero bets $1.50, Villain raises to $3, Hero ?
I dont like the A so I decide to bet/fold in case he was calling down with 2nd pair.
I have great pot odds but I dont see myself beating anything but a bluff.
It felt like he really wanted me to call him. Minraises dont often push people off of pots.
Range i give him: AT, QT, AQ, 22, TT, KJ. Gives me 0% equity which is perhaps too nitty here?
Does anyone look him up getting around 8-1 pot odds?
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