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it's different for everyone. it depends how fast you learn, how fast you can adapt, how correctly you use your strategies....etc.
royal vegas gave me $10 free when i first started, and within 3 weeks i grinded to a profit of $120. i was playing the 0.05/0.10 NL ring games, and i thought i kicked some serious ass. the beauty was i learned how to play before i played. so ABC poker worked out for me.
but of course, i still busted. either i had an usually long string of cold cards, or probably from a bigger reason...i was on tilt.
i think one of the main reasons most people go bust is because they've never experienced "tilt" before. they will lose a large percentage of their bankroll, say 20%. they start to panic and go into "must win it back mode" and usually it doesn't go as expected.
this is the biggest lesson that any poker player must be able to learn. emotion management. keep your emotions in check!
to answer your question, i believe the mass majority of poker players will bust once, and if they are able to cope and learn from their mistakes, they will eventually become winning players.
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