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 Originally Posted by bdawg56kg
Maybe it's just me but I would have a very hard time laying down trips with any kind of kicker, and no straight or flush draws on the board. It would be interesting to see what the exact odds are that someone has the other 9 with a better kicker. The way I see it would be like getting KK, someone going AI before you and laying it down b/c you think they have rockets. I might've possibly layed that hand down because it smelled like a boat the way he kept smooth calling you, but not because I suspected I was outkicked.
If you get into a raise war on the flop (after check-raising), with a pair on the board, you have to start thinking about the possibility that you're beat. If you don't think about it then, it will cost you money. I find this is particularly true in scenarios like these:
- you're in the small blind with a crap hand like 96 suited
- flop comes 99x
- you check, BB checks, a player bets; you raise, then BB raises you, and the other guy folds
At this point you have to wonder why the big blind would re-raise UNLESS he had a 9 - and while it's possible his other card is lower than a 6, it's not likely.
As far as the kings vs. aces scenario, there's really no comparison. The odds of aces vs. kings on a single hand is really low, but the odds of someone else playing the 9 (especially in an unraised pot with a couple of limpers + the blinds) is decent. I'm not saying you should just fold - far from it - but you also shouldn't shove your chips in the pot as quickly as possible, because there's a chance you're beat. That's more true the higher the card is - lots of players will limp in with hands like T9, J9, even Q9-A9 (because they like the high card & the 9 doesn't look that bad).
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