|
|
Re: Question for spoon
 Originally Posted by bigstock2001
3. How do you figure out that ak is 60/40 dog to qq.
Your questions have really already been answered, you just need to apply the math to other situation.
Let's say AKo against QQ.
AK needs to catch an A or K to win.
But won't win if QQ will make a straight, flush or a set. Flush and straight are so slim that I would just slap an additional 1% on there, and not bother with the math too much.
Catching an A or K - there are 3 kings and 3 aces left you need to catch either of them with any card on the board - so the probability for each card is:
6/48, 6/47, 6/46,... and so on to the river.
Again - wikipedia or google will have an explanation that I will not bother with because it's rather long:
1-((1-6/48)*(1-6/47)*...) gives you your chance of hitting either an A or a K.
By now you should understand how you do that for QQ hitting a set after you made the best hand (approximately), and if you're ambitious take straights and flushes into account.
Similarly you can see what the added bonus is of having two suited cards, or having 2 suited cards and share the suit with one of the Queens, and so on...
If you think AK is a 3:2 dog, then I would recommend you do the math... might make you some moneyz in the future.
|