Quote Originally Posted by johnny_fish
It's not the question if it's +EV, because it probably is. But is this line better than calling? I don't think Villain folds to your river push if the 9 or 4 arrives, maybe he can to a diamond. On the other hand, you will fold if you miss your 15 outs. So, calling might be optimal in this situation, depending on FE. If it's high: push.
Its an example to illustrate how to calculate these things and not a strategy post but yes you are right.