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Flopped straight vs river shove 25nl

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  1. #1
    daviddem's Avatar
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    67s = 3 combos - tie
    78s = 1 combo - win
    89s = 1 combo - loose
    9Ts = 2 combos - win (this one is probably not in his range)
    QJs = 4 combos - loose
    88 = 1 combo - loose
    99/TT = 6 combos - loose (arguable whether he plays a flop set like this, so these could be removed)
    I think he never plays top pair/overpair like this so:
    JJ-AA = 0 combos
    TJs, QTs, KTs, ATs = 0 combos
    ATo = 0 combos

    So without flopped sets, it's 6 looses vs 3 wins and much worse with flopped sets. So if he never has a set, it's still a call. But seriously with this line I'd weight more in favor of his nutty hands (why the hell would he do that with 9Ts wtf, when he is crushed by any overpair holecards) . I'd say a FH or nut straight is the most likely hand, unless he is capable of bluffing or spazzing completely in this spot.
    Last edited by daviddem; 03-16-2011 at 03:40 PM.
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