Quote Originally Posted by bigspenda73
Seriously, look at pokerstove, we're a 99.9% underdog

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

990 games 0.031 secs 31,935 games/sec

Board: 7d 8d 2d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 99.899% 99.90% 00.00% 989 0.00 { Ad3d }
Hand 1: 00.101% 00.10% 00.00% 1 0.00 { KdJd }
I don't want this to come across as attadcking Spenda, I just want to sort out what I should have been thinking when I was faced withthe decision as to whether to call or not.
I have to admit I'm a little surprised at Spenda's replies focussing on the result and the villains actual cards as opposed to the range that I was putting them on and playing them on. If he was playing with his cards turned up as you pokerstoved it,its an obvious fold with my only way to win (i think) being 9dTd by the river for straight flush.Is this virtually the classic case way ahead way behind situation you were asking for examples of in the other thread.
From the Buttons preflop reraise I had him on a high pocket pair or he might have thought my preflop raise was weak and his flop shove i thought was him trying to price out any flush draws and protect his hand.
The preflop raise I played badly, I had raised several of the hands before this one and I think my stats at the time were running something like 33/23 and I was conscious of being MP with people to act behind me so I was betting it so that I could dump the hand if there was a significant raise and/or reraise behind me. Once it came back round to me I was thinking that it was only 0.1 into roughly a 40 cent pot that I could either flop big or fold if I missed.I will look when i get home tonight what I'd done in the couple of hands before this one.
The BB had been playing pretty passively and calling a lot of raises preflop and on the flop. With his 67/0 i had him on a pretty wide range preflop and when he called the all in I thought he could be on high pocket pair,two pair, flush , flush draw or a set.

In effect the only hand I really needed to worry about were ones with Ad in them 1in 47 chance of that and if he had the Ad then a (6/46)*(1/47)=0.002 chance of flopping or drawing the better flush.
Ive been playing with poker stove trying to incorporate Ad+ one other,suited diamonds ,pocket pairs etc all into one range and it didn't like what I was putting in.
I still think I was right to get my money in as I feel that most of the time I was beating the opponents ranges but not sure if I'm thinking right.
Havent had a chance to look at any responses in the last 5 hours or so as ive been working and in meetings,so apologies if some of this has already been covered.