Factoring in reverse implied odds in a ver sppecefic situation

I wrote all of this already but my internet crashed, so I'll try to sum it up again.
We hit our draw on the turn about 10% of the time and he boats the river about 20% of the time time. If we stack him everytime we hit it we get his stack 8% of the time, and he gets our stack 2% of the time, and we miss our draw on the turn 90% of the time. You can insert what you know now, but you never told us about the information we need (Sizes of stacks, bet sizing). The thing that makes this impossible to calculate here is that in buying the turn for a chance to get it in, we also buy another chance to draw. If we're really deep enough here to be drawing to a gutshot, and his bet sizing is really small, it sounds like we'll have a situation where we can draw to it on the river again. However, unless you have superhuman reads on him, I doubt that we can put this into our calculations.

Originally Posted by Imthenewfish

I wrote all of this already but my internet crashed, so I'll try to sum it up again.
We hit our draw on the turn about 10% of the time and he boats the river about 20% of the time time. If we stack him everytime we hit it we get his stack 8% of the time, and he gets our stack 2% of the time, and we miss our draw on the turn 90% of the time. You can insert what you know now, but you never told us about the information we need (Sizes of stacks, bet sizing). The thing that makes this impossible to calculate here is that in buying the turn for a chance to get it in, we also buy another chance to draw. If we're really deep enough here to be drawing to a gutshot, and his bet sizing is really small, it sounds like we'll have a situation where we can draw to it on the river again. However, unless you have superhuman reads on him, I doubt that we can put this into our calculations.

Well i have 17k hands on villain and in this specific situation he has a set 60 percent of the time. Also i'm we are assumeing that he will bet the turn and that we will fold if we miss.