i dont fold sets very often, that is true. and neither should anyone else. but when there are 3 of a suit on a board, you need to look for those "monsters." if you dont, you will lose some unnecessary stacks, and you winnings will suffer a bit. nothing you cant recover from, but still.
and yes, his range is wider than TT, 77, Ac. but he wouldnt raise into a flush board like that w/o the flush or TT or 77. and if you raise, and get RRed, and call...then lead the flop...you are just playing silly poker.
you have to watch for the signals when you get them. i guarantee you i lay down a lot of winning hands, but i dont showdown losers often either...and my win rate is fine.
i'm not saying to lay this hand down. i am saying to raise the flop, and see where you stand. if you get pushed over, you may think about laying it down. if you get led into big on the turn, you may think about laying it down. no way you can on the river, though, if you make it that far. i think i get away from this specific situation about 33-50% of the time. and lose my stack the rest of the time.
btw, pushing this flop...or calling an all-in is also -EV. again, with the flush up there...bottom set isnt the monster you may think it is.



Reply With Quote

