chance of flopping nuts!?! probabilities please need help ca

hi

I'minterested in finding out the probabilities of floppingn nuts. I guess thebest way to calcuate that is to calcuate each of the probabilities of flopping royal flush, quads, boat, etc....

Doesanybody know the probabilities of flopping each of these? Can you show the calculations too? thanks

this number will help you be the best poker play EVAR! Ready for it?
...
Depends your hand!

Originally Posted by ekillian

this number will help you be the best poker play EVAR! Ready for it?
...
Depends your hand!

Originally Posted by doggz

Originally Posted by ekillian

this number will help you be the best poker play EVAR! Ready for it?
...
Depends your hand!

Originally Posted by Estrop

Originally Posted by doggz

Originally Posted by ekillian

this number will help you be the best poker play EVAR! Ready for it?
...
Depends your hand!

Originally Posted by dwarfman

Originally Posted by Estrop

Originally Posted by doggz

Originally Posted by ekillian

this number will help you be the best poker play EVAR! Ready for it?
...
Depends your hand!

Originally Posted by mgobluefb

Originally Posted by dwarfman

Originally Posted by Estrop

Originally Posted by doggz

Originally Posted by ekillian

this number will help you be the best poker play EVAR! Ready for it?
...
Depends your hand!

Originally Posted by dalecooper

Originally Posted by mgobluefb

Originally Posted by dwarfman

Originally Posted by Estrop

Originally Posted by doggz

Originally Posted by ekillian

this number will help you be the best poker play EVAR! Ready for it?
...
Depends your hand!

The only hand that can be considered the absolute nuts in all situations is a Royal Flush. Since, no matter the hole cards, it requires 3 specific cards, the computation is as follows:

3/50 * 2/49 * 1/48 = 0.000051 = 0.0051%

i still have never seen one...

::sigh::

Originally Posted by The_Cheat

i still have never seen one...

::sigh::

A few weeks ago, I busted out of a tournament when my AK met QJs. Both all-in preflop. Flop was AKT, two of his suit. Turn brought the A of his suit. My AAAKK lost

that sucks.
i had a 7777K go down once. that was lame
lost to KKKK10 playing omaha.

Originally Posted by The_Cheat

i still have never seen one...

::sigh::

I have gotten four royal flushes in the last 6 months.

i've had 3 in my life. on one of them i held K10s and i hit the royal on the turn.

it was a 6 way all-in as there was a straight on the board by the river and 3 people thought that everyone was playing the board even though it was 3 suited.

that was a $400 pot in $100 NLHE. pretty sweet.

I saw a Royal in a quickie 5.50 sng once, though I've never gotten one.

Originally Posted by mgobluefb

Originally Posted by The_Cheat

i still have never seen one...

::sigh::

I have gotten four royal flushes in the last 6 months.

ya, well, my dad can beat up your dad!

Originally Posted by JeffreyGB

The only hand that can be considered the absolute nuts in all situations is a Royal Flush. Since, no matter the hole cards, it requires 3 specific cards, the computation is as follows:

3/50 * 2/49 * 1/48 = 0.000051 = 0.0051%

Actually flopping the pure nuts that can not be outdrawen no matter what someone else has can only be done if...

You flop a straight flush
and...
One of your cards is 10 or higher,
or
One of your hole cards is on the highest end of your straight flush

*Only exception is if you flop a 5-high straight flush and you dont hold the ace



However if you are talking about flopping the temporary nuts you would need to find all the different ways your specific hand could flop the nuts.

Originally Posted by Staple Gun

Originally Posted by JeffreyGB

The only hand that can be considered the absolute nuts in all situations is a Royal Flush. Since, no matter the hole cards, it requires 3 specific cards, the computation is as follows:

3/50 * 2/49 * 1/48 = 0.000051 = 0.0051%

Actually flopping the pure nuts that can not be outdrawen no matter what someone else has can only be done if...

You flop a straight flush
and...
One of your cards is 10 or higher,
or
One of your hole cards is on the highest end of your straight flush

*Only exception is if you flop a 5-high straight flush and you dont hold the ace



However if you are talking about flopping the temporary nuts you would need to find all the different ways your specific hand could flop the nuts.

Reread what I said. I was referring to flopping a Royal Flush, thus assuming that both of your hole cards were 10 or higher and of the same suit.

Originally Posted by JeffreyGB

The only hand that can be considered the absolute nuts in all situations is a Royal Flush. Since, no matter the hole cards, it requires 3 specific cards, the computation is as follows:

I dont want to start an argument but if you have


and the flop comes



that is the absolute nuts no matter what happens and it is not a royal flush. I am not saying you calculation is incorrect, just what you are calculating.

Ah, yes, I agree. Sorry, I misunderstood what you were disagreeing with.

I believe the same calculation applies, so the probability above holds, and can be extended to include any two suited connectors above 54.

Yes, the same probability would apply except for suited connectors with cards 10 or above. for example...

10 J would have 4 ways to make the absolute nuts...

7 8 9 and 8 9 Q

9 Q K and Q K A

This being said, it would be your calculation multiplied by 4, therfore it would be 0.0204% or about 1 in every 5,000 hands that you call with 10-Js you will flop absolute nuts.

Had 2 in my life, within 2 months of eachother, both at 2.50/5 NL on pokerroom where they payout 100x the big blind. $1000 free

Originally Posted by Jay-Z

Originally Posted by SmackinYaUp

Originally Posted by The_Cheat

Originally Posted by dalecooper

Originally Posted by mgobluefb

Originally Posted by dwarfman

Originally Posted by Estrop

Originally Posted by doggz

Originally Posted by ekillian

this number will help you be the best poker play EVAR! Ready for it?
...
Depends your hand!

Not funny.

*Only exception is if you flop a 5-high straight flush and you dont hold the ace

I just woke up... how does that work?

Originally Posted by SmackinYaUp

Originally Posted by Jay-Z

Originally Posted by SmackinYaUp

Originally Posted by The_Cheat

Originally Posted by dalecooper

Originally Posted by mgobluefb

Originally Posted by dwarfman

Originally Posted by Estrop

Originally Posted by doggz

Originally Posted by ekillian

this number will help you be the best poker play EVAR! Ready for it?
...
Depends your hand!

Originally Posted by The_Cheat

Originally Posted by SmackinYaUp

Originally Posted by Jay-Z

Originally Posted by SmackinYaUp

Originally Posted by The_Cheat

Originally Posted by dalecooper

Originally Posted by mgobluefb

Originally Posted by dwarfman

Originally Posted by Estrop

Originally Posted by doggz

[quote:8d4a91ce37="ekillian"]this number will help you be the best poker play EVAR! Ready for it?
...
Depends your hand!

[/quote:8d4a91ce37]

Originally Posted by Staple Gun

Originally Posted by The_Cheat

Originally Posted by SmackinYaUp

Originally Posted by Jay-Z

Originally Posted by SmackinYaUp

Originally Posted by The_Cheat

Originally Posted by dalecooper

Originally Posted by mgobluefb

Originally Posted by dwarfman

Originally Posted by Estrop

[quote:ddae33adc3="doggz"][quote:ddae33adc3="ekillian"]this number will help you be the best poker play EVAR! Ready for it?
...
Depends your hand!

[/quote:ddae33adc3][/quote:ddae33adc3]

this is fun

Originally Posted by The_Cheat

i still have never seen one...

::sigh::

Ive never seen one myself yet but 2 days in a row I saw other people get em.

Originally Posted by BoondockSaint

Originally Posted by The_Cheat

i still have never seen one...

::sigh::

Ive never seen one myself yet but 2 days in a row I saw other people get em.

*rubs the nuts for good luck*

-'rilla

Originally Posted by wulabs

hi

I'minterested in finding out the probabilities of floppingn nuts.

99% sleeping in boxers.

Only slightly less in briefs.