Quote Originally Posted by magneticskull
I suppose some sort of showdown obsessed check monkey might hold the queen and think it was good move to check "in case of the king", but we're talking about the odds of any one card (1/45?), that anyone has it. I'm willing to pay a little to find out, especially since it wins me the pot 44/45 times (at the turn + if I have the queen).
The odds of the K being out there (and once the K comes on the river, the Q) is actually quite high.
Sure it's a 1/45 chance, but there are 12 cards out there.

When I tried to do the sums I make it a 75% chance that someone is holding a card that improves the flush.
So this hand will be lost 3 times out of 4.

Now the 7 and the T may fold to a strong bet, the Q and J probably would have bet the turn. So this may be a playable move. But it with all those cards out there and this level; I think this is going to lose money in the long run.