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 Originally Posted by Robin
What is your range for betting the turn, and what does he think it is?
If (he thinks) your turn betting range is anything like this, then it's reasonable for him to check/ raise KK+
I' m ignoring sizing. Inexperienced players have no idea how to size their bet in this spot, regardless of what hand they have, so I think it tells us nothing.
I understand your reasoning and your thought process, but most inexperienced players are WAY more concerned about what they have in their hand than trying to figure out what's in Mike's. If he's truly inexperienced then Mike would be thinking a level too high when he starts to be concerned with what the villain thinks he has and would make some incorrect plays.
Ranges get more narrow as you go through the hand, not wider so if he didn't have 56 PF then he's not going to have it on the turn. I'm still thinking overpair or maybe FD to the nuts (AK  ) with a gutshot.
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