bluffing the river at microstakes

thanks for the reply mmm, if you fancy looking over this telling me if i got anything wrong id appreciate it


A8s 3 combos
A8o 12 combos
99 6 combos
TT 6 combos
89s 1 combo

28 combos bluff catchers

K9s 1 combo
KTs 2 combos
KJs 2 combos
KQs 2 combos

KTo 12 combos
KJo 12 combos
KQo 12 combos

43 combos of Kx

88 3 combos
66 3 combos

6 combos of boats

77 combos total

Roughly 36% of the time villain has a bluff catcher




36% we win 133+67
64% we lose 67


(.36*133)+(.64*-67)=5

so a half pot bluff makes 5c if villain folds all his bluff catchers as he should do because he doesn't have the odds to call with the as he only has 15% equity vs my range. if he calls then i make more money with my value bets than i should.
i still feel like i'm missing something