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been think ing about this for a bit.
villains range is like KQs, TT+, AQ+
on the turn, assuming villain doesnt beat pot and then check with the nuts, we can remove AQ, QQ, AA from his range. So then we're trying to maximize value from TT, JJ, KK, KdQd, KQs AK. lets forget AK cuz we tie.
6+6+3+1+4 combos left in his range. what we do now depends on another assumption. If we bet turn, the most likely outcome is that KQ, JJ and TT fold, and KK and KdQd call. if we check turn and bet river, i think JJ, Tt and the other KQ's might call. since KK and KdQd consitute 4/20=1/5 of villains range and we can potentially get additional value from that 4/5 that would fold, i think that we should check turn, and bet river.
additionally...we're probably not getting 2 bets from KK or KdQd either way, so it seems that a turn check and river bet is the right play.
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