Okay... so I'm stuck on something...

Here are my assumptions:

6max, a MP vil who opens 10% so I'll put his range at 77+, AJo+,KQo+,A9s+,KTs+,QTs+. He continues to a LP 3bet w/ TT+,AQs+,AKo,QJs,JTs... assumes no 4-bet for simplicity's sake.

So opening range is 142 combos (8prs x 6, 10 suited x 4 and 4 off-suit x 12) and continues with 58 combos (5prs x6, 4 suited x 4 and 1 offsuit x 12).

That means he folds to a 3bet 59% of the time.

Using Muzz' pot assumptions of open for 4, 3b to 12 and folded back around, I need him to fold 68.5% of the time to make the 3bet profitable.

Now I'm gonna flop goot with my 3b value range a certain % of the time which contributes part of the EV. But obv 59%<68.5%.

Which leads me to my point of stuck... WTF does that mean to my 3bet range vs. this villain? My first instinct is tighten up my 3b range, sig minizing the bluff portion. But for some reason this doesn't sound right to me.

Where'd I f-ck up?