25NL - Combo Draws vs Aggro Fish OOP

Bet/3bet is just so much more sexy tho.

Edit: Should probably expand on this more.

It's sexy for a couple different reasons:

1.) He's shown he can raise the flop (doesn't say as a bluff or for value, but I'm going to assume he can do it as a bluff since he's a lagtard at FR and he's running 30/20 or w/e) so he's going to fold to our 3bet a TON if he has any sort of air in his raising range. Even his medium strength hands are going to have to fold = more $$$ shipped to us instantly.

2.) We get value out of AdXx, worse Jx hands, etc.

3.) This is a flop that he can bluff raise pretty easily if he's capable of it. It's a scary board for anyone without at least a decent diamond in their hand and we basically have to have AdKx, AdQx, AdJx, KdQx, KdJx, etc for us to be able to continue. This might be taking it too deep since I doubt he thinks about our range, but he might be thinking something like, 'oh if he doesn't have a diamond he'll fold, RAISE!'

4.) When we do stack off, we have loads of equity (even vs flopped sets, and any non nut flushes) + fold equity = sooooo +EV.

So yea, looking to see if anyone disputes that bet/3bet is the best line?

I forgot I even posted this.

Anyway, I didn't have a big sample on him (~100 hands) but in that sample he raised cbets 3/5 times, and he folded 2/3. It's interesting that you think bet/jamming the flop is sexy, although your reasoning does make sense. I just wasn't ready to commit to the hand until the turn. Anyone think this is wrong considering villain's stack size combined with our equity on the flop? I think the turn is a fairly standard spot to just bet/jam and get it in.

Originally Posted by dranger7070

Bet/3bet is just so much more sexy tho.

+1

bet bet and more bet


Worst case:

Board: Jd 4d Qd
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 45.152% 45.15% 00.00% 447 0.00 { KdJs }
Hand 1: 54.848% 54.85% 00.00% 543 0.00 { QcJc }