Folding pre is wayyyyy toooooo nitty.
The flat keeps his range wide enough that he could still hold a few hands that we're beating. c/c to the river if the turn and river's blanks.
If he checks behind OTF and the turn's a blank then I might lead out about 1/3 - 1/2 pot.

I agree with you about not getting it in here because then we're only getting called by what crushes us and we really don't want to build a big pot when we might be way behind.