[spoonitnow strategy] The Incorporation of Second-Level Thinking

You're not wrong; I was just giving a general idea of what to look for in terms of the betting.

For example, suppose in the same hand you get in a $5 bet with 70% equity, a $12 bet with 60% equity and a $35 bet with 45% equity. The average return for these bets with these equities are $2.00, $2.40 and -$3.50, respectively. With the last bet, you might not even know that you are getting the worst of it. However, with the much larger bet sizes in play, a small equity disadvantage gives a much more substantial EV disadvantage. Eliminating the potential for that last bet (a significant mistake) is more often the issue than blatantly value betting into a range that you lose against. You might just be calling on the river instead of doing the betting after all.