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[5NL] AJs...TPTK. Turn decision

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  1. #1
    I would remove 55 from his range i doubt he raises you on the flop with 55. He seems fairly strong here. I don't think he would raise you with many of his draws on the flop, and you said he bet small before when bluffing.

    Stinks of two-pair JT or a set.

    I don't think you can just say i have over 50% equity vs his betting range this is a call, if you don't have a fairly accurate idea of his range here and your going to play the river badly then your better off folding the turn imo.

    What if he bombs the river? I mean a pair of Jacks with an Ace kicker is probably the bottom of your range here, so if you think he has a strong raising the flop range and betting large on the turn, that is, his range is weighted heavily for value it's probably going to be a fold.

    To sum up calling the turn isn't going to be profitable if your going to be playing the river badly alot of the time imo. It's not fun playing a guessing game on the river when he bets almost pot, especially when you guess wrong.

    That's just my opinion of course so take it fwiw.

    A good exercise to do is break up your range on each street, according to how you want to exploit this villain then you can clearly see that AJ falls into your calling range, or folding range for example.
    Erín Go Bragh
  2. #2
    Although you've said he only folds to cbets 50%, you haven't said whether he seems to like to raise or call with them. Do you have that information? It would be really useful.
    gabe: Ive dropped almost 100k in the past 35 days.

    bigspenda73: But how much did you win?
  3. #3
    Flop minraise from a donk can be strong, but can also have KJ/QJ or some other nonsense.

    I'm not folding yet, I'll see a river and re-eval.
    Quote Originally Posted by Jay-Z
    I'm a couple hands down and I'm tryin' to get back
    I gave the other grip, I lost a flip for five stacks

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